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Dövizdeki dalgalanmaları bahane ederek Türk ekonomisini hedef alan mandacı ekonomistleri ve Türkiye'nin gelişmesinden rahatsız olanları üzecek haberler peş peşe geliyor.
Türkiye İstatistik Kurumu (TÜİK) 2021 yılı 3. çeyrek büyüme rakamlarını açıkladı. Buna göre Türkiye ekonomisi yılın 3. çeyreğinde yüzde 7,4 büyüyerek dünyadan pozitif ayrışma gösterdi.
GOLDMAN SACHS'TAN BÜYÜME REVİZESİ GELDİ Öte yandan Türkiye güçlü büyüme verisi sonrası ilk revize uluslararası dev kuruluş Goldman Sachs'tan geldi. Buna göre Goldman Sachs, Türkiye'nin 2021 için büyüme beklentisini %9,5'ten %10,5'e çıkardı.
OECD BÜYÜME TAHMİNİNİ YÜZDE 9'A YÜKSELTTİ Ekonomik İşbirliği ve Kalkınma Örgütü (OECD), eylülde yüzde 5,7 olarak açıkladığı 2021 için küresel ekonomide büyüme tahminini yüzde 5,6'ya indirirken, Türkiye ekonomisine yönelik büyüme beklentisini de yüzde 8,4'den yüzde 9'a revize etti.
OECD'nin "Kasım Ara Dönem Ekonomik Görünüm Raporu" yayımlandı.
Raporda, küresel ekonomik görünüme yönelik ana riskin, mevcut enflasyon artışının daha uzun sürmesi ve beklentilerden daha fazla yükselmesi olduğu kaydedildi.
BÜYÜME TAHMİNİ 2022 İÇİN YÜZDE 4,5'TE SABİT TUTTU OECD'nin 2021, 2022 ve 2023 yıllarına ilişkin ekonomik büyüme öngörülerine yer verilen raporda, Eylül'de 2021 için yüzde 5,7 olarak açıklanan küresel ekonomide büyüme tahmini yüzde 5,6'ya indirildi. Büyüme tahmini 2022 için yüzde 4,5'te sabit tutulurken, 2023 için ise yüzde 3,2 olarak açıklandı.
Eylül'de bu yıl için yüzde 8,4 olarak açıklanan Türkiye ekonomisine yönelik büyüme tahmini, bugün yayımlanan raporda yüzde 9'a yükseltildi.
Türk ekonomisinin gelecek yıla ilişkin büyüme tahmini de yüzde 3,1'den yüzde 3,3'e yükseltilirken, 2023 yılı için ise yüzde 3,9 büyüme tahmini yapıldı.
S&P, TÜRKİYE İÇİN BÜYÜME TAHMİNLERİNİ YÜKSELTTİ Uluslararası kredi derecelendirme kuruluşu Standard & Poor's (S&P), Türkiye'nin 2021 ve 2022 yılları için büyüme tahminlerini yükseltti.
YÜDE 9,8'E ÇIKTI Kredi derecelendirme kuruluşunun Avrupa, Orta Doğu ve Afrika (EMEA) Gelişen Piyasalar raporunda, Türkiye'nin 2021 yılı için ekonomik büyüme tahmininin 1,2 puan artırılarak yüzde 9,8'e, 2022 yılı için büyüme tahmininin ise yüzde 0,4 artırılarak 3,7'ye revize edildiği kaydedildi.
Raporda, Rusya'nın bu yıl için ekonomik büyüme tahmininin 0,2 puan artırılarak 4,2'ye, 2022 yılı için ise 0,1 puan artırılarak 2,7'ye yükseltildiği bildirildi.
S&P'nin raporunda, Güney Afrika'nın 2021 için büyüme tahmininin 0,3 puan artırılarak 4,9'a, 2022 için 0,2 puan düşürülerek yüzde 2,4'e revize edildiği hatırlatılırken Polonya'nın 2021 için büyüme tahmininin 0,1 puan artırılarak 5,2'ye, 2022 için 0,3 düşürülerek yüzde 5 olarak revize edildiğine vurgu yapıldı.
Raporda, gelişen piyasalarda yüksek enflasyon ve yeni tip koronavirüs (Kovid-19) salgınına ilişkin belirsizliklerin ekonomik büyümeyi yavaşlatma riski taşıdığının altı çizildi.
Öte yandan raporda, bu yılın üçüncü çeyreği itibarıyla Avrupa içerisindeki tüm gelişen piyasaların salgından çıkış sırasında anlamlı bir ekonomik büyüme kaydetmeyi başardığı bildirildi.
Gelişen piyasalarda ekonomik toparlanmanın henüz tamamlanmadığının da vurgulandığı raporda, bazı sektörlerin kapasitesinin altında performans sergilemesine rağmen, çoğu gelişen piyasa ekonomisinin 2022 yılında ortalamanın üzerinde bir büyüme kaydetmesinin beklendiği kaydedildi.