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Asgari ücretle çalışan vatandaşlar maaşlarına yeni bir zam olup olmadığını araştırıyorlar. Memur ve emekli maaşlarına yapılan ve basında sıkça yer alan enflasyon oranı zammına ilişkin tüm detaylar ve asgari ücretli vatandaşların maaşlarına ne zaman yapılacağına dair yönetmelik esasları merak ediliyor. Bu bağlamda Merkez Bankası , 2020 ve 2021 yılı enflasyon tahminlerini de revize etti. Merkez Bankası, 2020 yılının üçüncü enflasyon raporunu açıklıyor. Merkez Bankası yetkilileri pandemi sürecinden bu yana ilk kez fiziksel olarak bir araya gelirken; Başkan Murat Uysal , "Belirsizlik halen yüksek seyretmekte" dedi. ''Enflasyonun 2021 yıl sonunda yüzde 6,2 olarak gerçekleşeceğini tahmin ediyoruz'' diyerek konuştu.
2021 memur maaşı ve asgari ücret zammı öncesi rakam belli oldu! - Küresel faaliyette normalleşme adımlarıyla kısmi toparlanma sinyalleri gözlemlenmekle birlikte belirsizlik halen yüksek seyretmekte.
- Gelişmekte olan ülkelerden portföy çıkışları ikinci çeyrekte yavaşlayarak da olsa devam etti.
- Küresel risk iştahının etkisiyle döviz kuru oynaklıkları gerilerken, alınan parasal ve mali tedbirlerin katkısıyla kredi büyümesi hız kazandı.
- Ticari kredilerdeki artışın son dönemde bir miktar ivme kaybetmekle birlikte güçlü seyrettiğini görüyoruz
- Tüketici kredileri mayıs sonrası dönemde belirgin bir ivme kazandı
- Kademeli normalleşme adımlarıyla birlikte iktisadi faaliyette mayıs ayında başlayan toparlanma güç kazanmaktadır
- Önümüzdeki dönemde turizm gelirlerinde kısmi bir iyileşme bekliyoruz
- İşsizlik oranları artarken, işgücüne katılım oranlarındaki düşüş bu artışı sınırladı
- Tüketici enflasyon u ve çekirdek enflasyon yılın ikinci çeyreğinde nisan tahminlerinin üzerinde gerçekleşti
- Tüketici enflasyonu ikinci çeyrekte temel mal ve gıda grupları kaynaklı artış kaydetti
- Arz yönlü unsurların normalleşmenin devamıyla kademeli olarak ortadan kalkacağını öngörüyoruz
- Temmuz ayında enflasyon beklentileri yıl sonu için artış kaydederken, orta vadeye yönelik nispeten yatay seyretti
- Salgın sonrası devreye alınan yeni imkanlarla birlikte kompozisyonu değişmiştir
- Enflasyonun 2020 yıl sonunda yüzde 8,9 olarak gerçekleşeceğini tahmin ediyoruz (önceki yüzde 7,4)
- Enflasyonun 2021 yıl sonunda yüzde 6,2 olarak gerçekleşeceğini tahmin ediyoruz (önceki yüzde 5,4)
- Enflasyonun orta vadede yüzde 5 düzeyinde istikrar kazanacağını tahmin ediyoruz
- Enflasyonun, yüzde 70 olasılıkla 2020 yıl sonunda yüzde 8,9-10,9 aralığında - Orta noktası yüzde 8,9- gerçekleşeceğini öngörüyoruz.( Önceki yüzde 5,5-9,3 aralığı ile yüzde 7,4)
- Enflasyonun yüzde 70 olasılıkla 2021 yıl sonunda yüzde 3,9-8,5 aralığında- orta noktası yüzde 6,2 - gerçekleşeceğini öngörüyoruz (Önceki yüzde 3,0-7,7 aralığı ile yüzde 5,4)
- 2020 yılı gıda enflasyon u tahminini yüzde 9,5'ten yüzde 10,5'e güncelledik
- TL cinsi ithalat fiyatlarındaki yükselişin 2020 yılı enflasyonunda etkisi +0,5 puan, gıda enflasyonu varsayılındakii güncellemenin etkisi +0,2
- 2021 gıda enflasyonu tahminini yüzde 7,0'dan yüzde 8,0'a güncelledik
- Kredi büyümesi ve kompozisyonunun iç ve dış denge üzerindeki etkileri yakından takip edilmektedir.
- Toparlanma hızı normalleşmenin seyrine bağlı olacak
- Önümüzdeki dönemde de parasal duruşumuzu enflasyondaki düşüşün sürekliliği yönünde belirlemeye devam edeceğiz
- Yılın ikinci yarısı itibariyle arz yönlü etkilerin giderek azalmasını öngörüyoruz.
- Varsayımlarımızı ikinci bir dalga olmayacağına göre yaptık
- Attığımız likitide adımlarını aşamalı şekilde gözden geçirebiliriz
- Önümüzdeki dönemde de parasal duruşumuzu enflasyondaki düşüşün sürekliliğini sağlayacak şekilde belirlemeye ve elimizdeki bütün araçları veri odaklı bir yaklaşımla finansal istikrar ve fiyat istikrarı amaçları doğrultusunda kullanmaya devam edeceğiz.
- İkinci dalga konusu daha önce yaşanan kadar ekonomiler üzerinde ciddi bir belirsizlik ve etki yaratmayacak gibi gözüküyor
- (Rezervlerle ilgili soru üzerine) Rezervlerde böyle dönemlerde bir miktar dalgalanma olması doğal, Rezervlerimizin kısa vadeli yükümlülükler açısından şu an için yeterli olduğunu öngörüyoruz.
- Piyasa koşulları elverdiği sürece rezervlerimizdeki artış politikamızı devam ettireceğiz
- Yılın ikinci yarısında(rezervler üzerine) biraz daha olumlu bir döneme girmiş olduğumuzu düşünüyoruz
- Cari açıkta ikinci yarıda daha ılımlı bir seyir öngörüyoruz
ASGARİ ÜCRETE EN YAKIN ZAM NE ZAMAN YAPILACAK?
Asgari ücret ile çalışan vatandaşların maaşları, memur ve emekli maaşlarından farklı olarak belirleniyor. Memur ve emekliler yılda iki defa zam alırken asgari ücretle çalışan vatandaşların maaşları bir yıllık olarak belirleniyor. Bu kapsamda Aralık ayında gerçekleştirilen asgari ücret belirleme görüşmelerinin ardından Ocak ayında maaşlara yapılacak zam oranı belli oluyor. Bu zam tüm yıl boyunca geçerli olmakla beraber yıl içinde değişmiyor. Tüm bu bilgilerin ardından ise merak edilen konu başlığı enflasyon oranı zammı. Asgari ücretle çalışan vatandaşlar maaşlarına enflasyon oranı zammı almayacaklar. Maaşlar yıl başında belirlendiği için bu rakam yıl sonuna kadar geçerli. Bu maaş zam oranı yıl içinde değişmiyor.
MEMUR VE EMEKLİLER NE KADAR ZAM ALDI?
Asgari ücretle çalışan vatandaşlar yıl başında maaşlarına yüzde 15 oranında zam aldılar. Memur ve emekliler ise yıl başında yüzde 5 oranına yakın bir zam alırken yılın ikinci yarısında da yüzde 5.75 zam alarak 2020 yılını tamamladılar.