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Aralık ayı enflasyon oranı ne kadar? 2020 Aralık ayı enflasyon yüzde kaç sorularının yanıtları gündem oldu. TEFE TÜFE Aralık ayı enflasyon oranlarının yüzde kaç olacağı merak ediliyor. TÜİK tarafından 4 Ocak Pazartesi günü saat 10:00 itibariyle açıklanacak veriler kritik öneme sahip. Zira bu oranlarla emeklilere, memurlara ve çalışanlara yapılması beklenen zam için bir tahmin ortaya çıkıyor. Peki, Aralık ayı enflasyon oranı ne kadar? Aralık ayı enflasyonu yüzde kaç? Son dakika haberi ! Son dakika gelişmesinin ayrıntıları takvim.com.tr 'de...
ARALIK AYI 2020 ENFLASYON ORANI
Tüketici Fiyat Endeksi , Aralık 2020
Tüketici fiyat endeksi (TÜFE ) yıllık %14,60, aylık %1,25 arttı
TÜFE'de (2003=100) 2020 yılı Aralık ayı nda bir önceki aya göre %1,25, bir önceki yılın Aralık ayına göre %14,60, bir önceki yılın aynı ayına göre %14,60 ve on iki aylık ortalamalara göre %12,28 artış gerçekleşti.
Yıllık düşüş gösteren tek grup %0,32 ile giyim ve ayakkabı oldu
Bir önceki yılın aynı ayına göre artışın düşük olduğu ana gruplar sırasıyla, %0,65 ile alkollü içecekler ve tütün, %5,73 ile haberleşme ve %6,84 ile eğitim oldu. Buna karşılık, bir önceki yılın aynı ayına göre artışın yüksek olduğu ana gruplar ise sırasıyla, %28,12 ile çeşitli mal ve hizmetler, %21,12 ile ulaştırma ve %20,61 ile gıda ve alkolsüz içecekler oldu.
Aylık en yüksek düşüş gösteren grup %3,18 ile giyim ve ayakkabı oldu
Ana harcama grupları itibarıyla 2020 yılı Aralık ayında azalış gösteren diğer ana gruplar, %0,58 ile çeşitli mal ve hizmetler, %0,03 ile eğitim ve %0,01 ile alkollü içecekler ve tütün oldu. Buna karşılık, ana harcama grupları itibarıyla 2020 yılı Aralık ayında artışın yüksek olduğu gruplar ise sırasıyla, %3,46 ile ev eşyası, %2,64 ile ulaştırma ve %2,53 ile gıda ve alkolsüz içecekler oldu.
Aralık 2020'de, endekste kapsanan 418 maddeden, 98 maddenin ortalama fiyatında düşüş gerçekleşirken, 36 maddenin ortalama fiyatında değişim olmadı. 284 maddenin ortalama fiyatında ise artış gerçekleşti.
YILLIK ENFLASYON ORANLARI BELLİ OLDU MU?
2020'nin son enflasyon rakamı bugün saat 10:00'da TÜİK tarafından açıklanacak.
TÜİK'in kasım ayı enflasyon verilerine göre, memur maaşlarına baz teşkil eden Tüketici Fiyat Endeksi (TÜFE ) kasımda bir önceki aya göre yüzde 2,30 artarken, temmuz-kasım döneminde de tüketici fiyatlarında yüzde 7,03 artış meydana geldi .Bugün aralık ayı enflasyon oranın belli olmasıyla birlikte son 6 ay enflasyon oranları ortaya çıkacak.
ARALIK ENFLASYON BEKLENTİSİ NEDİR?
AA Finans'ın, TÜİK tarafından 4 Ocak Pazartesi günü açıklanacak aralık ayı enflasyon verilerine ilişkin beklenti anketi, 19 ekonomistin katılımıyla sonuçlandı.
Ankete göre, ekonomistlerin aralık ayı enflasyon beklentilerinin ortalaması yüzde 1,02 oldu. Ankete katılan ekonomistlerin aralık ayı için enflasyon beklentileri, en düşük yüzde 0,45, en yüksek yüzde 1,91 aralığında yer aldı.
Ekonomistlerin aralık ayı enflasyon beklentilerinin ortalamasına (yüzde 1,02) göre bir önceki ay yüzde 14,03 olan yıllık enflasyonun yüzde 14,34'e çıkacağı hesaplanıyor.
Tüketici Fiyat Endeksi , kasımda bir önceki aya göre yüzde 2,30 artış göstermişti.
YILLIK ENFLASYON BEKLENTİSİ
Cari yıl sonu tüketici enflasyonu (TÜFE ) beklentisi bir önceki anket döneminde yüzde 11,76 iken, bu anket döneminde yüzde 12,47 olmuştur. 12 ay sonrası TÜFE beklentisi bir önceki anket döneminde yüzde 10,53 iken, bu anket döneminde yüzde 10,77 olmuştur. 24 ay sonrası TÜFE beklentisi ise aynı anket dönemlerinde sırasıyla yüzde 9,05 ve yüzde 9,20 olarak gerçekleşmiştir.
12 AY SONRASI ENFLASYON BEKLENTİLERİ
2020 yılı Kasım ayı anket döneminde, katılımcıların 12 ay sonrasına ilişkin olasılık tahminleri değerlendirildiğinde, TÜFE 'nin ortalama olarak yüzde 24,72 olasılıkla yüzde 9,00 - 9,99 aralığında, yüzde 33,96 olasılıkla yüzde 10,00 - 10,99 aralığında, yüzde 23,18 olasılıkla ise yüzde 11,00 - 11,99 aralığında artış göstereceği öngörülmektedir.
Aynı anket döneminde nokta tahminler esas alınarak yapılan değerlendirmeye göre ise, katılımcıların yüzde 26,00'ının beklentilerinin yüzde 9,00 - 9,99 aralığında, yüzde 28,00'ının beklentilerinin yüzde 10,00 - 10,99 aralığında, yüzde 28,00'ının beklentilerinin ise yüzde 11,00 - 11,99 aralığında olduğu gözlenmektedir.
24 AY SONRASI ENFLASYON BEKLENTİSİ
2020 yılı Kasım ayı anket döneminde, katılımcıların 24 ay sonrasına ilişkin olasılık tahminleri değerlendirildiğinde, TÜFE 'nin ortalama olarak yüzde 23,29 olasılıkla yüzde 8,00 - 8,99 aralığında, yüzde 36,43 olasılıkla yüzde 9,00 - 9,99 aralığında, yüzde 13,37 olasılıkla ise yüzde 10,00 - 10,99 aralığında artış göstereceği öngörülmektedir.
Aynı anket döneminde nokta tahminler esas alınarak yapılan değerlendirmeye göre, 24 ay sonrası TÜFE enflasyonu beklentileri değerlendirildiğinde, katılımcıların yüzde 24,44'ünün beklentilerinin yüzde 8,00 - 8,99 aralığında, yüzde 33,33'ünün beklentilerinin yüzde 9,00 - 9,99 aralığında, yüzde 22,22'sinin beklentilerinin ise yüzde 10,00 - 10,99 aralığında olduğu gözlenmektedir.
ENFLASYON NEDİR?
Enflasyon, mal ve hizmetlerin fiyatlarının artmasıdır. Ancak mal ve hizmetlerin fiyatları zaman içinde artabilir veya azalabilir. Enflasyon sadece belli bir malın veya hizmetin fiyatının tek başına artması değil, fiyatların genel düzeyinin sürekli bir artış göstermesidir.
TEFE TÜFE HESAPLAMASI
Tüfe için, hesaplamaya önce yurt içinde hanelerin mallar için ödediği fiyat alınarak başlanıyor. Bu yapılan harcamaların toplam harcamalardaki konumu belirleniyor. Belirli dönemler alınarak artış miktarları ortaya koyulur. Bu harcamalar üzerinde beş tane bölge belirlenir. Bu bölgelerde 16 şehir üzerinden yola çıkılarak hesaplamalar yapılır. Tefe de sektör ürünlerinde meydana gelen fiyat değişimi hesaplanır. Tüfe verilerinin tefeye göre yüksek olması bir enflasyon olayının belirtisidir. Tüfe ve tefe oranları belirlenerek kiralara ne oranda zam yapılacağı belirleniyor. Bu zaman oranlarının her seneni başında verildiğini bilmekteyiz.
TEFE TÜFE FARKLARI NEDİR?
Bu iki kelime genellikle hepimizin karıştırdığı iki kavramlar. İki kelimenin beraber kullanılması bir kavram karışıklığına yol açabiliyor. Tefe fiyatlar konusunda maliyet unsurlarını göstermektedir. Tüfe ise fiyatlarda meydana gelen yükselmenin talep tarafını ortaya koyuyor. Tefe, tüfeye göre daha kapsamlı bir içeriğe sahiptir. Bu iki veri de aynın üçüncü günleri vatandaşların bilgisine sunuluyor